Replicating and extending Simes' Punishing Places methodology for Utah: documenting the geography of correctional supervision and testing the concentrated disadvantage hypothesis.
The foundational "punishing places" map showing raw correctional population rates across all of Utah's census tracts. Reveals the dual-concentration pattern: elevated rates in both Salt Lake/Weber urban cores and the Carbon/Duchesne/Uintah rural extraction region.
Open MapLorenz curve quantifying spatial inequality (Gini = 0.496), regional distribution box plots revealing that extraction-dependent counties exhibit rates comparable to urban disadvantaged cores, and regional classification maps across four schemes.
Key concentration thresholds: population share for 25%, 50%, 75% of supervision; supervision share from top 10%, 15%, 20% of population. Directly compared with Simes' Massachusetts findings. Confirms the "punishing places" thesis extends to Utah's distinctive geography.
Progressive model-building replicating Simes' methodology: concentrated disadvantage index (RR = 1.285), spatially lagged neighbor effects (RR = 1.440), and full specification with regional controls. The neighbor effect finding motivates INLA-BYM2 spatial modeling in Chapter 3.
Simes, J. T. (2018a). Place and punishment: The spatial context of mass incarceration. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 34(3), 513–533. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-017-9344-y
Simes, J. T. (2021). Punishing places: The geography of mass imprisonment. University of California Press.